Evaluating Drought Vulnerability of Small Community Surface Water Supply Systems in the Midwest

This report presents approaches and data availability for evaluating the drought vulnerability of small community water supply systems in the Midwest that obtain water from surface water bodies, such as rivers, streams, natural lakes, and man-made reservoirs. A description is provided of the various types of surface water sources from which 320 small community systems in the Midwest, each serving 10,000 or fewer people, obtain their water. The small community surface water system most commonly obtains its supply from one or two small impounding reservoirs. However, a substantial number of communities instead obtain their water from either direct river withdrawals or off-channel storage of water withdrawn from streams and rivers. Sixty of these 320 small community surface water systems were interviewed to gather information on the availability of data to determine the drought vulnerability of these systems. Although hydrologic and physical data exist for evaluating many of these systems, relatively few of the interviewed system managers could provide such pertinent information. A summary of selected hydrologic data is provided that can be used to determine the relative severity of major historical drought periods for various portions of the Midwest. Focus is given to historical droughts and available data for the southern portion of the Midwest where most surface water supply systems are located, comprising parts of Kansas, Missouri, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. Geographic differences in drought severity are described, as is the influence of the physical characteristics of a water supply on the “critical” drought duration that a community must consider. Basic water budget analyses of water supplies and data needs are presented. Reservoir capacity measurements and estimates of inflow are the most critical data in reliable assessment of water supply adequacy. Depending on data availability, estimation of inflows may be straightforward to highly uncertain. For water supply systems that withdraw directly from a stream or river, the existence of long-term stream gage data on that river is particularly crucial to evaluate supply adequacy, and such data for larger streams and rivers are often available. With impounding reservoirs, which are typically located on smaller streams, data for that stream may often not exist; however, data from a “surrogate” gage that is considered to be hydrologically similar are often sufficient to estimate water supply yield. Systems that use off-channel reservoirs often withdraw water from smaller streams that do not have data for accurate depiction of their yield, and these systems also appear to be the most vulnerable to severe drought conditions. Case studies are presented to provide examples of yield calculations and innovative approaches that selected small communities have undertaken for addressing drought vulnerability. The role of demand management (drought response and water conservation) in evaluating drought vulnerability is also presented. If hydrologic data and basic physical data such as storage capacity are lacking, it may be difficult for either system managers or experienced professionals to estimate a community system’s yield and potential drought impacts, particularly for off-channel reservoir and low channel dam systems. However, managers should attempt to understand the type of drought period likely to test the adequacy of the available supply and can begin recording basic system observations, such as daily withdrawal records and reservoir drawdown, in a readily-accessible form that will be useful for future evaluations.published or submitted for publicationis peer reviewe

Reliability measurement during software development

During the development of data base software for a multi-sensor tracking system, reliability was measured. The failure ratio and failure rate were found to be consistent measures. Trend lines were established from these measurements that provided good visualization of the progress on the job as a whole as well as on individual modules. Over one-half of the observed failures were due to factors associated with the individual run submission rather than with the code proper. Possible application of these findings for line management, project managers, functional management, and regulatory agencies is discussed. Steps for simplifying the measurement process and for use of these data in predicting operational software reliability are outlined

DSE Hadron Phenomenology

A perspective on the contemporary use of Dyson-Schwinger equations, focusing on some recent phenomenological applications: a description and unification of light-meson observables using a one-parameter model of the effective quark-quark interaction, and studies of leptonic and nonleptonic nucleon form factors.Comment: 7 pages, sprocl.sty, epsfig.sty. Contribution to the Proceedings of the Workshop on Light-Cone QCD and Nonperturbative Hadron Physics, Adelaide, Australia, 13-22 Dec 199

The Character of Goldstone Bosons

A succinct review of the QCD gap equation and dynamical chiral symmetry breaking; their connection with Bethe-Salpeter equations and resolving the dichotomous nature of the pion; the calculation of the pion's valence-quark distribution; and first results for the pi-exchange contribution to the gamma N -> omega N cross-section, which is important in the search for missing nucleon resonances.Comment: 9 pages, LaTeX2e, ws-p8-50x6-00.cls, Contribution to the Proceedings of the "Workshop on Lepton-Scattering, Hadrons and QCD," Adelaide, 26 March-6 April, 200

Doctor of Philosophy

dissertationModeling and experimental studies of the oxy-combustion behavior of pulverized coal chars are detailed in this work. During oxy-combustion, nitrogen is separated from oxygen before the introduction of oxygen, recycled flue-gas, and fuel into a coal boiler. The nearly pure CO2 effluent (after condensation of H2O) can be captured through condensation, and then utilized or stored, preventing the climate changing impacts of this greenhouse gas. Although oxy-combustion has been considered and studied for over a decade, there are still misunderstood aspects of the science th a t this research aims to clarify through modeling and experimental studies. First, a detailed model of a single char particle is presented. The detailed model is employed to assess the impact of CO2 and steam gasification reactions on the oxy-combustion of coal chars. The detailed model indicates th a t gasification reactions reduce the predicted char particle temperature significantly. Lower temperatures reduce the radiant emission and rate of char oxidation, but the char carbon consumption rate actually increases by approximately 1 0%, since the gasification reactions are consuming carbon (in addition to the oxygen). Gasification reactions account for about 20% of the carbon consumption in low oxygen conditions, and about 30% of the carbon consumption under oxygen enriched conditions. Secondly, typical pulverized coal char combustion modeling assumptions are described and two simplified models are compared to the detailed model. The single-film model, wherein gas-phase reactions are ignored yields accurate results, with particle temperature predictions accurate to within 270 K, and carbon consumption rate predictions accurate to within 16%. Finally, an entrained flow reactor (EFR) was used to make measurements of singleparticle temperatures under a wide range of conditions for three coal chars. The environments ranged from 24-60% O2, 10-14% H2O, with N2 or CO2 serving as the diluent. Collected chars were also analyzed for burnout and surface area. Kinetic parameters were found for the simplified model to fit the experimental data, for each of the coal chars, over the wide range of environments studied. The model described herein and these kinetic parameters can be used in more complex CFD codes to accurately predict the oxy-combustion behavior of coal chars

Amplitude control of quantum interference

Usually, the oscillations of interference effects are controlled by relative phases. We show that varying the amplitudes of quantum waves, for instance by changing the reflectivity of beam splitters, can also lead to quantum oscillations and even to Bell violations of local realism. We first study theoretically a generalization of the Hong-Ou-Mandel experiment to arbitrary source numbers and beam splitter transmittivity. We then consider a Bell type experiment with two independent sources, and find strong violations of local realism for arbitrarily large source number $N$; for small $N$, one operator measures essentially the relative phase of the sources and the other their intensities. Since, experimentally, one can measure the parity of the number of atoms in an optical lattice more easily than the number itself, we assume that the detectors measure parity.Comment: 4 pages; 4 figure